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Red65
690422.6
386331.2
496416.8
Blue82
512421.1
20717.9
600031.6
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6167405080901006582

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3863
#14
31.20.1
24.524.6
Auto6.8
Teleop17.2
End7.2
blue by 0.4
6000
#11
31.61.1
17.718.8
Auto8.8
Teleop13.9
End8.9
Second
6904
#20
22.60.2
18.518.8
Auto4.5
Teleop9.8
End8.4
red by 1.5
5124
#29
21.11.1
25.326.3
Auto6.1
Teleop8.7
End6.3
Third
4964
#35
16.80.2
15.015.2
Auto2.1
Teleop5.0
End9.6
blue by 1.2
207
#25
17.91.1
19.220.3
Auto2.0
Teleop9.5
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
47%Activation oddsMissed45%Activation oddsMissed