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Red90
271029.8
600031.6
175912.1
Blue77
98018.1
145217.7
519949.7
6%Model gave it94%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61982040801201401609077

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6000
#11
31.62.5
25.427.9
Auto8.8
Teleop13.9
End8.9
blue by 18.1
49.71.7
48.947.2
Auto11.2
Teleop28.9
End9.5
Second
2710
#16
29.81.5
27.128.7
Auto8.8
Teleop14.4
End6.6
red by 11.7
980
#36
18.12.8
20.517.6
Auto2.4
Teleop10.1
End5.6
Third
1759
#43
12.12.5
9.712.3
Auto3.8
Teleop5.6
End2.7
blue by 5.6
1452
#23
17.71.7
18.216.5
Auto6.1
Teleop7.1
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
30%Activation oddsEarned85%Activation oddsMissed