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Red70
70223.9
683325.4
450124.3
Blue74
340817.9
550017.2
665826.9
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8557020401001201407074

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6833
#13
25.41.7
24.823.2
Auto8.6
Teleop10.4
End6.4
blue by 1.5
26.90.8
24.325.1
Auto8.6
Teleop12.4
End5.8
Second
4501
#12
24.31.7
24.322.6
Auto3.7
Teleop15.0
End5.7
red by 6.4
3408
#30
17.91.2
19.921.1
Auto5.6
Teleop9.3
End2.9
Third
702
#27
23.91.7
26.825.2
Auto4.2
Teleop13.3
End6.4
red by 6.6
5500
#31
17.21.2
13.114.3
Auto5.5
Teleop5.3
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
56%Activation oddsMissed44%Activation oddsMissed