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Red116
519949.7
395229.9
917210.9
Blue108
420147.7
271029.8
550017.2
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9092406080100120140160116108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.71.4
46.748.2
Auto11.2
Teleop28.9
End9.5
red by 2.1
47.71.1
43.344.4
Auto9.1
Teleop30.5
End8.0
Second
3952
#21
29.91.4
28.429.8
Auto12.1
Teleop11.8
End6.1
red by 0.1
2710
#16
29.81.1
28.829.9
Auto8.8
Teleop14.4
End6.6
Third
9172
#40
10.92.1
9.511.5
Auto3.0
Teleop4.3
End3.6
blue by 6.3
5500
#31
17.21.6
14.315.9
Auto5.5
Teleop5.3
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed7%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
52%Activation oddsEarned76%Activation oddsEarned