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Red116
690422.6
114840.5
347334.0
Blue116
585714.4
802040.6
84642.7
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions103104708090100110120130116116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.50.2
40.640.8
Auto12.3
Teleop18.7
End9.5
blue by 2.2
846
#9
42.70.4
42.643.0
Auto12.7
Teleop24.4
End5.6
Second
3473
#19
34.00.2
34.034.2
Auto9.7
Teleop18.7
End5.6
blue by 6.6
40.60.4
40.440.8
Auto11.3
Teleop21.5
End7.8
Third
6904
#20
22.60.2
22.722.9
Auto4.5
Teleop9.8
End8.4
red by 8.3
5857
#32
14.40.3
14.214.5
Auto3.5
Teleop4.2
End6.7