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Red158
699818.8
594065.4
132375.9
Blue150
803353.6
97167.8
66826.0
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions173155100120140180200220240158150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
75.90.0
75.975.9
Auto17.6
Teleop48.8
End9.2
red by 8.1
971
#3
67.80.2
68.067.8
Auto20.0
Teleop39.6
End8.2
Second
65.40.0
65.465.4
Auto16.8
Teleop38.6
End9.7
red by 11.8
53.60.2
53.853.6
Auto12.1
Teleop34.8
End6.8
Third
6998
#33
18.80.0
18.818.8
Auto6.9
Teleop9.6
End2.3
blue by 7.2
668
#13
26.00.2
26.126.0
Auto6.5
Teleop11.5
End8.0