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Red153
128018.3
397049.9
425552.2
Blue127
581735.3
804843.2
66826.0
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions979080120140153127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4255
#12
52.25.1
36.541.6
Auto15.7
Teleop29.9
End6.7
red by 9.1
8048
#10
43.22.1
40.943.0
Auto13.6
Teleop20.3
End9.4
Second
49.93.1
33.836.8
Auto12.8
Teleop30.6
End6.4
red by 14.5
5817
#17
35.32.1
24.426.5
Auto8.4
Teleop19.4
End7.6
Third
1280
#20
18.33.1
19.923.0
Auto3.4
Teleop11.1
End3.8
blue by 7.7
668
#13
26.02.1
20.422.4
Auto6.5
Teleop11.5
End8.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
27%Sustainability oddsEarned19%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
46%Activation oddsEarned82%Activation oddsEarned