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Red175
594065.4
688427.1
417116.6
Blue84
19233.6
605921.7
752820.4
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions976405015017584

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.42.1
52.454.5
Auto16.8
Teleop38.6
End9.7
red by 31.8
192
#22
33.61.0
29.930.9
Auto13.8
Teleop14.1
End5.4
Second
6884
#29
27.13.6
18.422.0
Auto7.9
Teleop11.6
End7.6
red by 5.4
6059
#21
21.71.6
17.919.5
Auto4.2
Teleop11.5
End6.0
Third
4171
#25
16.63.6
16.019.6
Auto3.5
Teleop6.0
End7.1
blue by 3.8
7528
#35
20.41.2
16.617.8
Auto4.6
Teleop10.5
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
8%Sustainability oddsEarned7%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
46%Activation oddsEarned44%Activation oddsEarned