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Qual 202023 Monterey Bay Regional
Red109
425552.2
840443.2
67044.0
Blue138
397049.9
264317.0
594065.4
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12711780100140160180200109138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4255
#12
52.21.0
41.6→40.6
Auto15.7
Teleop29.9
End6.7
blue by 13.2
5940
#2
65.41.8
59.0→60.8
Auto16.8
Teleop38.6
End9.7
Second
670
#16
44.00.6
39.3→38.7
Auto9.6
Teleop28.6
End5.8
blue by 5.8
3970
#4
49.91.8
36.8→38.6
Auto12.8
Teleop30.6
End6.4
Third
8404
#15
43.20.6
37.3→36.7
Auto10.8
Teleop25.7
End6.6
red by 26.3
2643
#19
17.03.0
15.2→18.2
Auto4.2
Teleop9.2
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
27%Sustainability oddsEarned27%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
84%Activation oddsMissed59%Activation oddsEarned