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Red82
128018.3
19233.6
912536.0
Blue175
826224.1
803353.6
281337.0
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9310605015020082175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9125
#28
36.00.5
34.033.5
Auto11.7
Teleop17.4
End7.0
blue by 17.6
53.62.6
43.345.9
Auto12.1
Teleop34.8
End6.8
Second
192
#22
33.60.5
32.331.8
Auto13.8
Teleop14.1
End5.4
blue by 3.4
2813
#11
37.02.6
36.939.5
Auto10.0
Teleop19.9
End7.1
Third
1280
#20
18.30.5
23.022.5
Auto3.4
Teleop11.1
End3.8
blue by 5.8
8262
#14
24.12.6
17.419.9
Auto5.3
Teleop11.3
End7.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
46%Sustainability oddsMissed34%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
38%Activation oddsMissed73%Activation oddsEarned