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Qual 272023 Monterey Bay Regional
Red125
502650.3
417116.6
803353.6
Blue89
281337.0
517130.7
840443.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1141105015020012589

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8033
#5
53.61.2
45.9→47.1
Auto12.1
Teleop34.8
End6.8
red by 10.4
8404
#15
43.21.0
36.7→35.7
Auto10.8
Teleop25.7
End6.6
Second
5026
#9
50.31.2
40.7→41.9
Auto15.0
Teleop28.2
End7.1
red by 13.3
2813
#11
37.01.0
39.5→38.5
Auto10.0
Teleop19.9
End7.1
Third
4171
#25
16.62.1
20.0→22.0
Auto3.5
Teleop6.0
End7.1
blue by 14.1
5171
#27
30.71.6
27.2→25.6
Auto8.7
Teleop16.2
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
70%Sustainability oddsEarned11%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
79%Activation oddsEarned69%Activation oddsMissed