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Red136
594065.4
510434.5
581735.3
Blue34
681419.9
502711.4
19233.6
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions134665010015020013634

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.40.6
60.861.4
Auto16.8
Teleop38.6
End9.7
red by 31.8
192
#22
33.62.4
31.829.4
Auto13.8
Teleop14.1
End5.4
Second
5817
#17
35.30.6
27.327.9
Auto8.4
Teleop19.4
End7.6
red by 15.5
6814
#18
19.94.0
20.216.2
Auto5.2
Teleop8.8
End5.9
Third
34.50.6
29.229.8
Auto9.6
Teleop17.3
End7.7
red by 23.1
5027
#34
11.44.0
18.314.3
Auto2.0
Teleop5.9
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
29%Sustainability oddsEarned15%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
67%Activation oddsEarned39%Activation oddsMissed