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Red159
826224.1
425552.2
581735.3
Blue33
417116.6
699818.8
605921.7
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1016520408012014016015933

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4255
#12
52.26.6
42.649.2
Auto15.7
Teleop29.9
End6.7
red by 30.5
6059
#21
21.73.6
20.517.0
Auto4.2
Teleop11.5
End6.0
Second
5817
#17
35.33.9
27.931.8
Auto8.4
Teleop19.4
End7.6
red by 16.6
6998
#33
18.83.6
22.819.2
Auto6.9
Teleop9.6
End2.3
Third
8262
#14
24.13.9
19.523.4
Auto5.3
Teleop11.3
End7.5
red by 7.5
4171
#25
16.63.6
22.018.4
Auto3.5
Teleop6.0
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
15%Sustainability oddsEarned10%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
72%Activation oddsEarned18%Activation oddsMissed