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Red108
666516.5
97167.8
281337.0
Blue171
167149.2
840443.2
594065.4
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12215750100200108171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
971
#3
67.81.1
61.059.9
Auto20.0
Teleop39.6
End8.2
red by 2.4
65.41.2
61.462.6
Auto16.8
Teleop38.6
End9.7
Second
2813
#11
37.01.1
38.537.5
Auto10.0
Teleop19.9
End7.1
blue by 12.2
49.21.2
47.648.8
Auto13.1
Teleop28.9
End7.1
Third
6665
#31
16.51.8
19.517.7
Auto4.1
Teleop9.0
End3.4
blue by 26.7
8404
#15
43.21.2
35.737.0
Auto10.8
Teleop25.7
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
62%Sustainability oddsEarned48%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
78%Activation oddsMissed76%Activation oddsEarned