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Red134
66826.0
167149.2
510434.5
Blue110
594065.4
517130.7
826224.1
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1111226080100140160180134110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.21.6
48.850.4
Auto13.1
Teleop28.9
End7.1
blue by 16.2
65.40.9
62.661.7
Auto16.8
Teleop38.6
End9.7
Second
34.51.6
30.131.7
Auto9.6
Teleop17.3
End7.7
red by 3.8
5171
#27
30.71.4
26.925.5
Auto8.7
Teleop16.2
End5.8
Third
668
#13
26.01.6
26.528.1
Auto6.5
Teleop11.5
End8.0
red by 1.9
8262
#14
24.10.9
23.422.6
Auto5.3
Teleop11.3
End7.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
36%Sustainability oddsEarned26%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
78%Activation oddsEarned73%Activation oddsEarned