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Red120
682224.1
19233.6
281337.0
Blue179
502650.3
840443.2
97167.8
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8715850100200120179

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2813
#11
37.02.0
37.539.4
Auto10.0
Teleop19.9
End7.1
blue by 30.8
971
#3
67.82.3
59.962.2
Auto20.0
Teleop39.6
End8.2
Second
192
#22
33.62.0
31.933.9
Auto13.8
Teleop14.1
End5.4
blue by 16.7
50.32.3
42.344.7
Auto15.0
Teleop28.2
End7.1
Third
6822
#30
24.12.0
21.023.0
Auto11.9
Teleop9.0
End3.2
blue by 19.1
8404
#15
43.22.3
37.039.3
Auto10.8
Teleop25.7
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
25%Sustainability oddsEarned71%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
55%Activation oddsEarned88%Activation oddsEarned