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Red87
912536.0
502711.4
517130.7
Blue179
605921.7
804843.2
97167.8
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6414405010020087179

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9125
#28
36.01.1
33.835.0
Auto11.7
Teleop17.4
End7.0
blue by 31.8
971
#3
67.81.3
63.664.9
Auto20.0
Teleop39.6
End8.2
Second
5171
#27
30.71.7
27.629.2
Auto8.7
Teleop16.2
End5.8
blue by 12.5
8048
#10
43.21.3
42.243.6
Auto13.6
Teleop20.3
End9.4
Third
5027
#34
11.41.7
8.410.1
Auto2.0
Teleop5.9
End3.4
blue by 10.3
6059
#21
21.71.9
19.421.3
Auto4.2
Teleop11.5
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
16%Sustainability oddsMissed66%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
30%Activation oddsMissed89%Activation oddsEarned