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Qual 622023 Monterey Bay Regional
Red118
681419.9
688427.1
502650.3
Blue135
517130.7
248638.2
397049.9
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9013250100150200118135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5026
#9
50.31.9
46.5→48.4
Auto15.0
Teleop28.2
End7.1
red by 0.5
3970
#4
49.90.5
48.5→49.0
Auto12.8
Teleop30.6
End6.4
Second
6884
#29
27.12.3
25.2→27.5
Auto7.9
Teleop11.6
End7.6
blue by 11.1
2486
#8
38.20.5
38.1→38.6
Auto10.6
Teleop19.2
End8.6
Third
6814
#18
19.92.3
17.7→20.0
Auto5.2
Teleop8.8
End5.9
blue by 10.8
5171
#27
30.70.6
30.7→31.3
Auto8.7
Teleop16.2
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
29%Sustainability oddsEarned60%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
73%Activation oddsEarned84%Activation oddsEarned