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Red142
826224.1
167149.2
510434.5
Blue132
688427.1
19233.6
248638.2
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11310650150200142132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.20.7
48.349.0
Auto13.1
Teleop28.9
End7.1
red by 11.0
38.20.0
38.638.5
Auto10.6
Teleop19.2
End8.6
Second
34.50.7
33.634.4
Auto9.6
Teleop17.3
End7.7
red by 1.0
192
#22
33.60.0
33.933.9
Auto13.8
Teleop14.1
End5.4
Third
8262
#14
24.10.7
23.223.9
Auto5.3
Teleop11.3
End7.5
blue by 3.0
6884
#29
27.10.0
27.527.5
Auto7.9
Teleop11.6
End7.6