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Red131
441539.1
98748.9
427624.9
Blue148
347647.4
622027.2
656035.9
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11711690100110120130140150131148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
987
#3
48.90.6
47.748.3
Auto16.6
Teleop25.3
End7.0
red by 1.5
47.40.2
47.047.3
Auto14.3
Teleop23.6
End9.5
Second
4415
#12
39.10.6
37.838.4
Auto10.0
Teleop20.6
End8.5
red by 3.1
6560
#21
35.90.2
35.635.8
Auto11.5
Teleop19.0
End5.5
Third
4276
#27
24.90.5
23.724.3
Auto7.1
Teleop10.7
End7.0
blue by 2.4
6220
#19
27.20.2
26.827.1
Auto7.5
Teleop9.6
End10.1