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Red22
546125.1
86712.7
407921.4
Blue49
580512.9
852112.7
350115.6
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions645502040801001202249

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5461
#14
25.14.7
18.513.8
Auto8.5
Teleop9.2
End7.3
red by 9.4
3501
#36
15.61.5
17.716.2
Auto5.7
Teleop3.6
End6.3
Second
4079
#39
21.44.7
19.715.0
Auto4.3
Teleop10.1
End7.0
red by 8.5
5805
#41
12.91.5
15.113.6
Auto4.5
Teleop5.9
End2.5
Third
867
#33
12.74.7
21.116.4
Auto3.1
Teleop4.2
End5.5
Level
8521
#40
12.71.5
19.718.2
Auto4.4
Teleop5.2
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
36%Activation oddsMissed27%Activation oddsMissed