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Red70
704222.5
519944.7
513711.7
Blue73
283933.7
723016.4
188414.8
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions845302040601001201407073

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5199
#10
44.70.5
30.229.6
Auto8.6
Teleop26.3
End9.7
red by 11.1
2839
#13
33.72.1
19.922.0
Auto9.2
Teleop17.3
End7.2
Second
7042
#30
22.50.5
23.923.3
Auto9.7
Teleop8.3
End4.4
red by 6.1
7230
#24
16.42.1
17.119.2
Auto5.0
Teleop3.2
End8.1
Third
5137
#46
11.70.5
20.920.3
Auto2.6
Teleop7.7
End1.5
blue by 3.1
1884
#17
14.82.1
16.919.0
Auto3.1
Teleop8.1
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
54%Activation oddsMissed39%Activation oddsEarned