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Red35
388226.9
33099.1
852112.7
Blue95
153847.9
302011.1
329517.3
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72733040506080901001103595

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3882
#16
26.94.2
30.226.0
Auto8.6
Teleop10.2
End8.1
blue by 21.0
47.93.0
35.938.9
Auto10.6
Teleop29.5
End7.8
Second
8521
#40
12.74.2
17.012.8
Auto4.4
Teleop5.2
End3.1
blue by 4.6
3295
#23
17.33.0
15.418.5
Auto5.0
Teleop4.1
End8.2
Third
3309
#47
9.14.2
20.716.5
Auto3.0
Teleop3.5
End2.6
blue by 2.0
3020
#37
11.13.0
16.419.4
Auto3.6
Teleop4.9
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
40%Activation oddsMissed62%Activation oddsEarned