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Red89
656035.9
927124.9
414118.7
Blue24
852112.7
302011.1
513711.7
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions764902040601001208924

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6560
#21
35.91.8
29.931.7
Auto11.5
Teleop19.0
End5.5
red by 23.3
8521
#40
12.72.8
12.810.0
Auto4.4
Teleop5.2
End3.1
Second
9271
#15
24.91.8
22.023.8
Auto7.0
Teleop10.0
End8.0
red by 13.2
5137
#46
11.72.8
17.414.5
Auto2.6
Teleop7.7
End1.5
Third
4141
#38
18.71.8
15.817.6
Auto5.3
Teleop7.7
End5.7
red by 7.7
3020
#37
11.12.8
19.416.6
Auto3.6
Teleop4.9
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
51%Activation oddsEarned35%Activation oddsMissed