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Red100
302011.1
388226.9
347647.4
Blue57
513711.7
723016.4
502521.6
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions885202040608010012014010057

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.41.8
37.038.9
Auto14.3
Teleop23.6
End9.5
red by 25.8
5025
#22
21.61.3
22.020.7
Auto6.9
Teleop9.1
End5.5
Second
3882
#16
26.91.8
24.726.6
Auto8.6
Teleop10.2
End8.1
red by 10.5
7230
#24
16.41.3
17.115.8
Auto5.0
Teleop3.2
End8.1
Third
3020
#37
11.11.8
16.618.4
Auto3.6
Teleop4.9
End2.5
blue by 0.7
5137
#46
11.71.3
14.513.3
Auto2.6
Teleop7.7
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
9%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
80%Activation oddsEarned43%Activation oddsMissed