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Red128
715753.9
418320.6
622027.2
Blue80
513711.7
153847.9
580512.9
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9764020408012014016012880

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.92.2
47.149.4
Auto10.3
Teleop37.5
End5.9
red by 6.0
47.91.7
41.743.4
Auto10.6
Teleop29.5
End7.8
Second
6220
#19
27.22.2
20.422.6
Auto7.5
Teleop9.6
End10.1
red by 14.4
5805
#41
12.91.7
9.010.7
Auto4.5
Teleop5.9
End2.5
Third
4183
#31
20.62.2
19.121.3
Auto6.9
Teleop5.9
End7.8
red by 8.9
5137
#46
11.71.7
13.314.9
Auto2.6
Teleop7.7
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
48%Activation oddsEarned33%Activation oddsMissed