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Red67
395222.4
585715.5
388226.9
Blue121
461918.5
98748.9
441539.1
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5911405010015067121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3882
#16
26.90.5
25.325.7
Auto8.6
Teleop10.2
End8.1
blue by 22.1
987
#3
48.92.2
46.448.6
Auto16.6
Teleop25.3
End7.0
Second
3952
#35
22.40.5
23.123.6
Auto9.3
Teleop6.6
End6.5
blue by 16.7
4415
#12
39.12.0
35.737.8
Auto10.0
Teleop20.6
End8.5
Third
5857
#42
15.50.5
13.714.2
Auto2.3
Teleop5.6
End7.5
blue by 3.0
4619
#34
18.52.2
17.820.0
Auto5.5
Teleop9.1
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed17%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
62%Activation oddsEarned70%Activation oddsEarned