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Qual 652023 Orange County Regional
Red80
744719.4
546125.1
669519.5
Blue71
401421.2
414118.7
723016.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63623040507080901008071

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5461
#14
25.11.5
23.1→24.6
Auto8.5
Teleop9.2
End7.3
red by 3.8
4014
#9
21.21.2
24.2→25.4
Auto6.7
Teleop10.2
End4.4
Second
6695
#25
19.51.5
15.1→16.6
Auto4.6
Teleop7.0
End7.9
red by 0.8
4141
#38
18.71.2
17.2→18.3
Auto5.3
Teleop7.7
End5.7
Third
7447
#11
19.41.5
21.1→22.7
Auto5.7
Teleop5.8
End7.9
red by 3.0
7230
#24
16.41.2
17.3→18.5
Auto5.0
Teleop3.2
End8.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed7%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
66%Activation oddsEarned63%Activation oddsEarned