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Qual 702023 Orange County Regional
Red69
116030.1
418320.6
513711.7
Blue89
432239.7
461918.5
86712.7
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions677702040601001201401606989

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1160
#18
30.10.5
28.2→27.6
Auto9.9
Teleop13.4
End6.8
blue by 9.5
4322
#1
39.70.2
40.2→40.0
Auto8.9
Teleop20.2
End10.6
Second
4183
#31
20.60.5
21.3→20.8
Auto6.9
Teleop5.9
End7.8
red by 2.2
4619
#34
18.50.2
20.0→19.8
Auto5.5
Teleop9.1
End3.9
Third
5137
#46
11.70.5
14.9→14.4
Auto2.6
Teleop7.7
End1.5
blue by 1.0
867
#33
12.70.2
10.8→10.6
Auto3.1
Teleop4.2
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed21%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
16%Activation oddsEarned64%Activation oddsEarned