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Red68
852112.7
166120.1
441539.1
Blue69
418320.6
580512.9
427624.9
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69642040801006869

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4415
#12
39.10.5
29.029.4
Auto10.0
Teleop20.6
End8.5
red by 14.2
4276
#27
24.90.9
19.618.7
Auto7.1
Teleop10.7
End7.0
Second
1661
#26
20.10.3
15.716.0
Auto4.9
Teleop9.5
End5.7
blue by 0.6
4183
#31
20.60.9
24.723.7
Auto6.9
Teleop5.9
End7.8
Third
8521
#40
12.70.5
19.319.7
Auto4.4
Teleop5.2
End3.1
blue by 0.2
5805
#41
12.90.9
16.115.1
Auto4.5
Teleop5.9
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
43%Activation oddsMissed39%Activation oddsMissed