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Red80
283933.7
263721.9
388226.9
Blue114
347647.4
622027.2
656035.9
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions841195010015020080114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2839
#13
33.70.2
33.933.7
Auto9.2
Teleop17.3
End7.2
blue by 13.7
47.40.1
46.246.2
Auto14.3
Teleop23.6
End9.5
Second
3882
#16
26.90.2
27.126.9
Auto8.6
Teleop10.2
End8.1
blue by 9.1
6560
#21
35.90.1
34.734.7
Auto11.5
Teleop19.0
End5.5
Third
21.90.2
22.221.9
Auto3.6
Teleop11.0
End7.3
blue by 5.3
6220
#19
27.20.1
26.026.0
Auto7.5
Teleop9.6
End10.1