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Red119
656035.9
622027.2
347647.4
Blue108
519944.7
715753.9
502521.6
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11213050100150200119108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.40.2
46.246.4
Auto14.3
Teleop23.6
End9.5
blue by 6.5
53.90.5
54.353.9
Auto10.3
Teleop37.5
End5.9
Second
6560
#21
35.90.2
34.734.9
Auto11.5
Teleop19.0
End5.5
blue by 8.8
5199
#10
44.70.5
45.244.7
Auto8.6
Teleop26.3
End9.7
Third
6220
#19
27.20.2
26.026.2
Auto7.5
Teleop9.6
End10.1
red by 5.6
5025
#22
21.60.5
22.121.6
Auto6.9
Teleop9.1
End5.5