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Red52
401421.2
188414.8
744719.4
Blue178
347647.4
622027.2
656035.9
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51122010015020052178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.20.5
21.821.2
Auto6.7
Teleop10.2
End4.4
blue by 26.2
47.40.5
45.746.2
Auto14.3
Teleop23.6
End9.5
Second
7447
#11
19.40.5
20.019.4
Auto5.7
Teleop5.8
End7.9
blue by 16.5
6560
#21
35.90.5
34.234.7
Auto11.5
Teleop19.0
End5.5
Third
1884
#17
14.80.5
15.414.8
Auto3.1
Teleop8.1
End3.6
blue by 12.4
6220
#19
27.20.5
25.526.0
Auto7.5
Teleop9.6
End10.1