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Red18
49824.3
145210.2
385922.8
Blue77
29432.6
742413.2
665814.1
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6163203040507080901001877

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
498
#24
24.34.5
23.018.6
Auto6.8
Teleop10.1
End7.3
blue by 8.3
294
#6
32.61.0
25.526.5
Auto8.6
Teleop18.7
End5.3
Second
3859
#25
22.84.5
18.814.4
Auto4.5
Teleop8.6
End9.7
red by 8.8
6658
#36
14.11.0
15.816.8
Auto4.4
Teleop5.1
End4.5
Third
1452
#31
10.24.5
16.411.9
Auto2.1
Teleop5.2
End2.9
blue by 2.9
7424
#35
13.21.0
16.817.8
Auto4.7
Teleop5.7
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
50%Activation oddsMissed40%Activation oddsMissed