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Red129
248623.3
97349.4
603647.9
Blue101
473111.6
258432.0
441450.6
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9887406080120140129101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
973
#11
49.44.2
37.041.2
Auto13.8
Teleop27.7
End8.1
blue by 1.2
50.62.0
44.346.3
Auto11.0
Teleop32.6
End6.9
Second
47.94.2
30.234.4
Auto13.7
Teleop25.1
End9.1
red by 15.9
2584
#38
32.02.0
24.526.5
Auto9.0
Teleop19.5
End3.5
Third
2486
#16
23.34.2
23.627.9
Auto9.7
Teleop6.5
End7.1
red by 11.7
4731
#43
11.62.0
14.116.1
Auto2.5
Teleop4.4
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsEarned9%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
63%Activation oddsEarned53%Activation oddsMissed