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Red37
312827.3
335410.3
473111.6
Blue90
210228.9
420135.7
248623.3
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51960204060801201403790

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3128
#21
27.31.9
24.222.3
Auto7.2
Teleop14.3
End5.8
blue by 8.3
35.70.5
31.330.8
Auto6.5
Teleop21.5
End7.7
Second
4731
#43
11.61.9
16.114.2
Auto2.5
Teleop4.4
End4.7
blue by 17.3
28.90.5
25.224.7
Auto8.7
Teleop12.0
End8.3
Third
3354
#37
10.31.9
13.611.7
Auto1.8
Teleop7.7
End0.9
blue by 13.0
2486
#16
23.30.5
27.927.4
Auto9.7
Teleop6.5
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
28%Activation oddsMissed78%Activation oddsEarned