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Red78
115912.6
69626.8
508926.6
Blue141
68728.3
167863.2
246527.7
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58112020408010012014016078141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
696
#28
26.81.3
26.427.7
Auto7.1
Teleop12.2
End7.6
blue by 36.3
63.24.2
50.454.6
Auto12.6
Teleop41.1
End9.6
Second
5089
#12
26.61.3
22.623.8
Auto8.1
Teleop10.7
End7.8
blue by 1.7
687
#15
28.34.2
24.528.7
Auto5.0
Teleop17.6
End5.7
Third
1159
#40
12.61.3
12.713.9
Auto0.6
Teleop8.8
End3.2
blue by 15.1
2465
#14
27.74.2
23.327.5
Auto10.7
Teleop10.5
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed7%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
34%Activation oddsEarned84%Activation oddsEarned