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Red95
58918.2
364737.3
69115.8
Blue112
603647.9
388121.6
97232.8
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions77100406012014016095112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3647
#18
37.32.2
34.837.0
Auto10.6
Teleop20.7
End5.9
blue by 10.6
47.91.8
42.944.8
Auto13.7
Teleop25.1
End9.1
Second
589
#17
18.22.2
22.324.5
Auto3.4
Teleop6.2
End8.6
blue by 14.6
972
#5
32.81.8
25.827.7
Auto9.8
Teleop16.3
End6.7
Third
691
#29
15.82.2
18.120.3
Auto2.3
Teleop7.4
End6.1
blue by 5.8
3881
#32
21.61.8
21.723.6
Auto3.6
Teleop15.4
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
74%Activation oddsEarned73%Activation oddsEarned