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Red127
97349.4
126615.5
420135.7
Blue67
418.9
508926.6
151521.2
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11359020408010014016012767

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
973
#11
49.40.4
44.745.1
Auto13.8
Teleop27.7
End8.1
red by 22.7
5089
#12
26.60.5
26.426.9
Auto8.1
Teleop10.7
End7.8
Second
35.70.4
31.832.2
Auto6.5
Teleop21.5
End7.7
red by 14.5
1515
#34DQ
21.20.5
18.519.1
Auto4.3
Teleop9.8
End7.0
Third
1266
#19
15.50.4
22.623.0
Auto5.2
Teleop4.4
End5.9
blue by 3.4
4
#26
18.90.5
17.618.1
Auto6.7
Teleop7.7
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
89%Activation oddsEarned69%Activation oddsEarned