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Red115
312827.3
665814.1
441450.6
Blue69
246527.7
501217.4
29432.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions898420406010012014016011569

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.63.4
44.848.2
Auto11.0
Teleop32.6
End6.9
red by 18.0
294
#6
32.61.7
32.831.1
Auto8.6
Teleop18.7
End5.3
Second
3128
#21
27.33.6
25.128.7
Auto7.2
Teleop14.3
End5.8
blue by 0.3
2465
#14
27.71.6
28.326.7
Auto10.7
Teleop10.5
End6.5
Third
6658
#36
14.13.4
12.616.0
Auto4.4
Teleop5.1
End4.5
blue by 3.4
5012
#33
17.41.7
18.316.6
Auto4.8
Teleop6.8
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsEarned6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
52%Activation oddsEarned69%Activation oddsMissed