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Red43
69115.8
88919.2
388121.6
Blue51
145210.2
68728.3
386322.3
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions575730405070804351

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3881
#32
21.61.6
23.622.0
Auto3.6
Teleop15.4
End2.6
blue by 6.7
687
#15
28.30.8
26.826.1
Auto5.0
Teleop17.6
End5.7
Second
691
#29
15.81.6
20.318.7
Auto2.3
Teleop7.4
End6.1
blue by 6.5
3863
#13
22.30.8
17.616.8
Auto4.2
Teleop12.0
End6.1
Third
8891
#42
9.21.7
9.78.0
Auto0.1
Teleop6.9
End2.2
blue by 1.0
1452
#31
10.20.8
8.98.1
Auto2.1
Teleop5.2
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
32%Activation oddsMissed40%Activation oddsMissed