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Red102
210228.9
167863.2
473111.6
Blue70
29432.6
151521.2
157223.6
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions101722040608012014016010270

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.21.1
56.657.8
Auto12.6
Teleop41.1
End9.6
red by 30.6
294
#6
32.60.7
31.130.4
Auto8.6
Teleop18.7
End5.3
Second
28.91.1
21.823.0
Auto8.7
Teleop12.0
End8.3
red by 5.3
1572
#27
23.60.7
21.420.7
Auto6.2
Teleop10.5
End7.0
Third
4731
#43
11.61.2
12.613.8
Auto2.5
Teleop4.4
End4.7
blue by 9.6
1515
#34
21.20.7
19.118.4
Auto4.3
Teleop9.8
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
13%Sustainability oddsMissed9%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
80%Activation oddsEarned64%Activation oddsEarned