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Red65
300816.2
388121.6
501217.4
Blue95
420135.7
115912.6
49824.3
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59672040801006595

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3881
#32
21.60.9
22.022.8
Auto3.6
Teleop15.4
End2.6
blue by 14.1
35.72.7
33.436.1
Auto6.5
Teleop21.5
End7.7
Second
5012
#33
17.40.9
16.617.5
Auto4.8
Teleop6.8
End5.9
blue by 6.8
498
#24
24.32.7
17.420.0
Auto6.8
Teleop10.1
End7.3
Third
3008
#30
16.20.8
17.618.4
Auto3.8
Teleop8.3
End4.0
red by 3.6
1159
#40
12.62.7
11.414.1
Auto0.6
Teleop8.8
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
29%Activation oddsMissed67%Activation oddsEarned