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Red116
441450.6
69626.8
386322.3
Blue70
97232.8
312827.3
126615.5
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9985406012014016011670

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.61.5
48.249.7
Auto11.0
Teleop32.6
End6.9
red by 17.8
972
#5
32.81.1
31.630.6
Auto9.8
Teleop16.3
End6.7
Second
696
#28
26.81.5
25.927.3
Auto7.1
Teleop12.2
End7.6
blue by 0.5
3128
#21
27.31.1
30.729.6
Auto7.2
Teleop14.3
End5.8
Third
3863
#13
22.31.5
16.818.3
Auto4.2
Teleop12.0
End6.1
red by 6.8
1266
#19
15.51.1
18.917.8
Auto5.2
Teleop4.4
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
8%Sustainability oddsMissed12%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
53%Activation oddsEarned74%Activation oddsEarned