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Red47
388121.6
448142.5
332811.4
Blue163
97232.8
49824.3
167863.2
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions81126406010014016018047163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.52.9
42.539.6
Auto9.5
Teleop26.7
End6.5
blue by 20.6
63.22.9
60.663.5
Auto12.6
Teleop41.1
End9.6
Second
3881
#32
21.62.9
25.022.1
Auto3.6
Teleop15.4
End2.6
blue by 11.2
972
#5
32.82.9
30.933.7
Auto9.8
Teleop16.3
End6.7
Third
3328
#44
11.43.1
14.511.4
Auto1.4
Teleop6.6
End3.5
blue by 12.8
498
#24
24.32.9
21.424.2
Auto6.8
Teleop10.1
End7.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
12%Sustainability oddsMissed32%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
17%Activation oddsMissed95%Activation oddsEarned