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Red74
49824.3
508926.6
364737.3
Blue129
441450.6
167863.2
69626.8
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions851635010015020025074129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3647
#18
37.30.4
37.637.3
Auto10.6
Teleop20.7
End5.9
blue by 25.9
63.20.5
63.963.4
Auto12.6
Teleop41.1
End9.6
Second
5089
#12
26.60.4
27.026.6
Auto8.1
Teleop10.7
End7.8
blue by 23.9
50.60.6
51.450.8
Auto11.0
Teleop32.6
End6.9
Third
498
#24
24.30.4
24.624.3
Auto6.8
Teleop10.1
End7.3
blue by 2.6
696
#28
26.80.6
27.727.1
Auto7.1
Teleop12.2
End7.6