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Red114
49824.3
508926.6
364737.3
Blue88
97232.8
68728.3
242923.0
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions929360708010011012013014011488

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3647
#18
37.30.7
36.737.4
Auto10.6
Teleop20.7
End5.9
red by 4.5
972
#5
32.80.0
33.933.9
Auto9.8
Teleop16.3
End6.7
Second
5089
#12
26.60.7
26.126.7
Auto8.1
Teleop10.7
End7.8
blue by 1.7
687
#15
28.30.0
29.429.4
Auto5.0
Teleop17.6
End5.7
Third
498
#24
24.30.7
23.724.4
Auto6.8
Teleop10.1
End7.3
red by 1.2
2429
#23
23.00.0
24.124.1
Auto6.1
Teleop10.1
End6.8