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Red57
68858.4
853714.3
254325.2
Blue127
59943.8
498422.4
427630.7
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4979020406010012014057127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2543
#20
25.20.1
14.814.9
Auto10.6
Teleop10.8
End3.8
blue by 18.6
599
#2
43.84.2
29.133.3
Auto11.5
Teleop25.5
End6.8
Second
8537
#47
14.30.2
18.919.1
Auto5.6
Teleop5.5
End3.3
blue by 16.3
4276
#25
30.73.5
25.028.4
Auto9.7
Teleop13.3
End7.7
Third
6885
#43
8.40.2
16.416.6
Auto3.3
Teleop3.8
End1.3
blue by 14.1
4984
#21
22.43.8
16.019.9
Auto7.6
Teleop8.7
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
9%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
31%Activation oddsMissed22%Activation oddsEarned