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Red137
364747.8
347336.7
312834.9
Blue106
669528.9
197217.3
699541.8
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11575204060100140160180137106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3647
#13
47.82.0
41.843.7
Auto12.7
Teleop27.9
End7.2
red by 6.0
6995
#26
41.81.6
32.333.8
Auto10.3
Teleop26.3
End5.2
Second
36.72.0
32.834.7
Auto8.7
Teleop22.2
End5.9
red by 7.8
6695
#12
28.91.4
25.827.2
Auto7.1
Teleop11.5
End10.2
Third
3128
#14
34.92.0
27.929.9
Auto7.4
Teleop19.7
End7.8
red by 17.6
1972
#32
17.32.3
17.019.3
Auto4.3
Teleop10.0
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
10%Sustainability oddsEarned9%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
65%Activation oddsEarned59%Activation oddsEarned