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Red92
416031.8
802044.5
800615.0
Blue105
162236.8
414127.1
669528.9
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74650204010012014092105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.51.9
40.642.5
Auto13.0
Teleop23.2
End8.1
red by 7.7
36.82.9
23.926.7
Auto9.6
Teleop19.5
End7.6
Second
4160
#16
31.82.1
16.919.0
Auto7.1
Teleop17.2
End7.6
red by 2.9
6695
#12
28.93.5
19.523.0
Auto7.1
Teleop11.5
End10.2
Third
8006
#33
15.02.1
10.812.9
Auto4.4
Teleop4.6
End6.0
blue by 12.1
4141
#18
27.13.5
18.722.2
Auto6.8
Teleop13.2
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsEarned5%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
53%Activation oddsEarned59%Activation oddsEarned